Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#236
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#310
Pace60.9#321
Improvement-0.4#189

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#273
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#294
Layup/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#241
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement+4.8#10

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#190
First Shot-1.2#202
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#122
Layups/Dunks+0.0#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#110
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
Freethrows-0.6#204
Improvement-5.2#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 321   Prairie View W 78-58 79%     1 - 0 +6.7 -8.5 +13.4
  Nov 13, 2016 257   Texas San Antonio W 72-64 63%     2 - 0 -0.1 -0.4 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2016 233   Lamar L 60-63 59%     2 - 1 -10.1 -19.5 +9.5
  Nov 18, 2016 54   @ Nevada L 58-83 7%     2 - 2 -12.7 -12.4 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2016 126   @ Tulsa L 64-75 19%     2 - 3 -6.5 -3.1 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2016 98   Fresno St. L 58-63 26%     2 - 4 -3.0 -7.2 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2016 86   @ Mississippi St. L 57-74 12%     2 - 5 -8.9 -6.5 -3.6
  Dec 03, 2016 237   @ Charlotte L 66-69 40%     2 - 6 -5.2 -6.1 +0.8
  Dec 11, 2016 320   Savannah St. L 90-93 OT 79%     2 - 7 -16.2 +7.5 -23.7
  Dec 16, 2016 226   Long Beach St. L 67-71 48%     2 - 8 -8.1 -3.6 -4.8
  Dec 18, 2016 265   Portland L 45-53 56%     2 - 9 -14.3 -17.7 +1.3
  Dec 21, 2016 147   Kent St. W 69-50 38%     3 - 9 +17.5 +0.9 +17.8
  Dec 28, 2016 58   USC L 63-70 14%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -0.2 +1.9 -3.2
  Dec 30, 2016 12   UCLA L 63-76 4%     3 - 11 0 - 2 +2.2 -0.8 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2017 171   Washington St. L 62-75 33%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -13.1 +2.2 -18.1
  Jan 07, 2017 156   @ Washington L 61-87 23%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -23.0 -7.1 -17.9
  Jan 14, 2017 14   @ Oregon L 43-85 2%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -21.8 -19.0 -4.3
  Jan 19, 2017 95   Stanford L 46-62 25%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -13.8 -12.9 -5.0
  Jan 21, 2017 57   California L 58-69 14%     3 - 16 0 - 7 -4.1 +2.1 -7.9
  Jan 26, 2017 72   @ Colorado L 78-85 9%     3 - 17 0 - 8 +3.3 +17.3 -14.8
  Jan 28, 2017 48   @ Utah L 78-86 6%     3 - 18 0 - 9 +5.4 +11.8 -6.6
  Feb 02, 2017 19   Arizona L 54-71 5%     3 - 19 0 - 10 -2.9 -4.4 -0.9
  Feb 04, 2017 114   Arizona St. L 68-81 31%     3 - 20 0 - 11 -12.5 -5.4 -7.6
  Feb 09, 2017 58   @ USC L 66-92 7%     3 - 21 0 - 12 -14.2 +0.8 -16.0
  Feb 12, 2017 12   @ UCLA L 60-78 2%     3 - 22 0 - 13 +2.3 -2.5 +3.5
  Feb 16, 2017 72   Colorado L 52-60 18%     3 - 23 0 - 14 -2.8 -16.5 +13.2
  Feb 19, 2017 48   Utah W 68-67 12%     4 - 23 1 - 14 +9.3 +3.2 +6.2
  Feb 22, 2017 95   @ Stanford L 66-79 13%     4 - 24 1 - 15 -5.7 +0.0 -6.1
  Feb 24, 2017 57   @ California L 46-76 7%     4 - 25 1 - 16 -18.0 -13.2 -7.0
  Mar 04, 2017 14   Oregon L 59-80 4%     4 - 26 1 - 17 -5.8 -4.3 -2.5
  Mar 08, 2017 57   California L 62-67 10%     4 - 27 +4.5 +5.1 -1.2
Projected Record 4.0 - 27.0 1.0 - 17.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%